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Wiseburn COVID-19 Dashboard

February 13, 2021

The COVID-19 numbers have dramatically declined in the past couple weeks, prompting renewed hope for school reopenings.

COVID-19 Data

CA County Map
Statewide metrics

33.1 New COVID-19 positive cases per day per 100K
(Decrease of 72.3 from last WUSD Dashboard on January 23, 2020)

8.5% Positivity rate
(Decrease of 6.7% from last WUSD Dashboard)

13.6% ICU availability
(Increase of 13.6% from last WUSD Dashboard)

LA County
Los Angeles County metrics

42.5 New COVID-19 cases per day per 100K
(Decrease of 108.2 from last WUSD Dashboard)

31.7 Adjusted case rate for tier assignment
(Decrease of 43.6 from last WUSD Dashboard)

9.5% Positivity rate
(Decrease of 7.6% from last WUSD Dashboard)

Los Angeles County Tier:

WIDESPREAD

Minimum requirements to move tiers

County risk level chart

Counties must meet the following two conditions in order to move from the Widespread to the Substantial tier:

  • Positivity rate must be below 8%
  • Cases per 100,000 residents must be below 7 new cases per 100,000 residents

(Source for all the above data and information)

Outlook for COVID-19 in Los Angeles County

Los Angeles County's COVID-19 numbers have dramatically fallen. According to a recent release by the Los Angeles Department of Public Health (LADPH), as of February 5, the average number of new cases is around 4,500 a day. This represents a 70% decrease from the peak experienced in early-January when LADPH reported an average of over 15,000 cases per day.

Meanwhile, the vaccine rollout continues amid some logistical difficulties and supply issues. Los Angeles County has administered over one million doses of the first round of the COVID-19 vaccine. Currently, vaccinations are open to healthcare workers, staff, and residents at long-term care facilities, and people ages 65 and older. However, in the three weeks since those 65 and older began to receive vaccinations, only 20% of that group has received them, according to the Los Angeles Times.

The LADPH is now working on a plan for expanding vaccination availability to the frontline workers included in Phase 1B Tier 1: Education and Childcare workers, Food and Agriculture workers, and Emergency Services workers.

According to a recent press release, LADPH says they plan to start vaccinations for workers in these sectors in 2 to 3 weeks. However, LADPH also estimates that more than 668,000 people in the childcare and education sector will be eligible for the vaccine, as well as 547,000 people working in the Food and Agriculture sector and 154,000 law enforcement and emergency responders in Los Angeles County.

Supplies of the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines are expected to remain tight. Based on anticipated allocations over the next month, LADPH hopes to receive, on average, 200,000 doses a week. If on average, 100,000 of these vaccines are used each week for second doses, 100,000 doses a week are left to distribute among the remaining 2.4 million individuals that will be eligible at that time to be vaccinated.

In addition to encouraging county residents to remain patient, officials are hopeful that the shortage may ease in the coming months as the single-dose Johnson & Johnson vaccine tentatively becomes available in March, and two other vaccines are on the horizon, reports the Los Angeles Times.

What this means for schools

If the coronavirus infection rate continues to drop quickly, schools in California may soon be permitted to reopen for in-person instruction for TK-6 grades.

According to the state's consolidated framework for school reopening released in January, Wiseburn is currently not permitted to reopen until Los Angeles County reaches a COVID-19 adjusted case rate of less than 25 per 100,000 population per day for at least 5 consecutive days. (This case rate reflects recommendations from the Harvard Global Health Institute analysis of safe school reopening policy.)

Though the numbers are hopeful, there is still concern that Super Bowl parties and renewed outdoor dining at restaurants may spike infections again.

In any case, to learn more about what the new state framework for reopening means for school reopenings, see the below diagram, which represents the stages of reopening for schools that have not previously reopened in any capacity for general education instruction:

adjusted case rate

 

What this all means for Wiseburn

With the CDPH's framework and our current COVID-19 environment, Wiseburn is now working to finalize plans for a prospective return to in-person instruction for some of our students.

We are rapidly approaching the 25 per 100,000 metric required for a physical reopening. We cannot be certain of an exact date we will reach that milestone, but as the case rates rapidly decline, we are working to finalize plans to return for in-person learning in early March with support from our principals, staff, parents/caregivers, and district administrators.

As we shared in a message to our District community on Thursday, our prospective reopening will be staggered, starting with our youngest learners in TK-2. Taking this approach will allow us to maximize social distancing and health and safety in our buildings. As the COVID-19 outlook continues to improve, we intend to expand our in-person instruction offerings to include grades 3-5 as permitted by state and local health directives.

Students and their parents/caretakers will have the option to choose either a Hybrid Learning Program (in-person and at-home) or a full distance Remote Learning Program (100% at-home) for students.

Please note: Efforts will be made to maintain current teacher/class assignments and minimize the shuffling of classes. Regardless of the model chosen, teacher/class assignments will need to be adjusted based on enrollment, staffing, and the learning model choices made by each family which may, in some cases, result in students changing teachers.

Any reopening would maintain strict health and safety protocols — protocols which we implemented successfully on sites for our in-person assessments late last year.

By implementing these protocols, Wiseburn has not experienced on-site transmission of the virus. To read our full list of protocols, please see our Health and Safety protocols page.

The District will send out weekly email communications distributing information to ensure a smooth transition back to campus as we are able to reopen for in-person instruction.

Have any thoughts on what you'd like to see in the next Wiseburn COVID-19 Dashboard?
Suggestions and comments are welcome at communication@wiseburn.org.
Please include "COVID Dashboard" in the subject line of the email.